Marijuana Investing

While I have no interest in marijuana as a product, and I’m probably slightly against its legalization, the rapid spread of legalization to three states (CO, WA, and CA, albeit for “medical” purposes only in the last case) is very interesting. Equally interesting is the efforts by many individual investors to cash in on this industry by investing in stocks related to it.

At this point, there are no major pot stocks traded on the stock exchanges, which means that unfortunately investors are forced to turn to the extremely shady area of off-exchange stocks such as those trading on the pink sheets. While some companies, notably ADRs, on these exchanges are legitimate, the vast majority are very close to being fraudalent. As a result, investors take considerable extra risk by investing in these firms.

That said the new JOBs act and the (presumably) forthcoming rules from the SEC related to crowdfunding provide an alternative for investors. My recent article, discusses this opportunity.

Options and Investing

Equity options have been a fairly fast growing part of the financial world for a while now. Unfortunately, since they started from essentially no nominal trading value 30-40 years ago, even growing at 10%+ per year over the last 20 years, they are still a small part of the overall investment arena. That’s unfortunate because the two main types of options each have a fundamental characteristic that make them useful for many investors including retail investors.

Call options give the buyer of the option the right, but not the obiligation to sell a pre-set amount of a specific stock at a given price up until a certain date in the future. Basically this is useful for investors who buy a stock, say AT&T, don’t expect it to go much of anywhere and are mainly interested in the dividened. In this scenario, the investor can sell calls that give the buyer of the calls the right to buy AT&T from the investor at a price equal or above what the investor paid. In return for this the investor gets a fee upfront from the buyer of the call (the option premium). Essentially this transaction allows the AT&T investor to add to his dividend income without having to invest any more money. Of course if AT&T’s stock goes up, the investor will have to sell it, but frankly that is not a big concern for most investors.

Various academic studies have shown that this method of investing leads to lower, but more consistent returns, than just buying the stock itself. The intuition here is that the investor misses out on big run-ups in stock price, but they get more consistent income, and they have a slight amount of protection in the event that the stock market drops.

Put options are the opposite of call options. They give the buyer of the option the right to sell a specified stock at a given price for a given period of time in the future. Essentially put options serve as a kind of stock market insurance. Given that newspaper and magazine articles routinely cite the volatility in the stock market as one of the main factors scaring away retail investors, put options should be of great interest to many investors.

Options in general are still fairly uncommon as an investment for most individual investors. Hoepfully this will change eventually. This article I wrote recently discusses using call options in gold trading for those interested in more on this topic.

Obamacare and Taxes

There has been a tremendous amount of talk in the media ever since the March jobs report a month ago about the impact of the sequester slowing economic growth. While the sequester is definitely having an impact, I think it is likely that Obamacare’s new taxes and regulations (see my article here) and the uncertainty around them, are having at least as big an impact. For example, it is likely that employers are less inclined to hire full-time workers then they previously were knowing that they will have to provide them with health insurance. This is probably an issue for even employers that have provided insurance in the past because of the uncertainty regarding how much insurance will end up costing after the insurance companies have adjusted rates for the new regulations in the fall. This is consistent with the jobs report this morning which showed lots of hiring, but mainly for part time jobs and a shrinking average workweek length (consistent with employers downgrading some full time employees to part time).

The good news is that in a year or two after these insurance costs are settled, job growth may begin to accelerate. That would  help to ensure America’s continued economic prosperity in the long run. Of course the bad news is that, again, job growth may not begin to accelerate for another year or two until after these costs are better understood by employers.

Oil and Gas Investing

My latest article on investing in natural resource stocks is here. One of the most important innovations in asset classes in the last decade, (in my view at least), is direct ownership of unconventional assets whether it be individual loans from places like Prosper and Lending Club, or mineral rights and energy producing assets as found at EnergyNet here.

The Other Kind of Stocks

For a long time preferred stocks were the primary vehicle for stock market investors. For example, when Ben Graham wrote about investing in stocks in the early twentieth century, he was referring to preferred stocks. Common stocks were a much more speculative investment, almost comparable to land speculation today perhaps, for most of America’s history. While things have obviously changed today, and the vast majority of activity in the markets is in common stocks, preferred stocks are still worth a look in my view. This is particuarly true given that the limited audience examining these stocks makes them much more likely to allow investors capture excess returns.

My introductory article on the topic is here.

100 Top Yielding Preferred Stocks

I have become interested in the returns to preferred stocks lately as I think they are an under recognized asset class. I am still looking at historical data but for those interested in reviewing some of the investment options, a list of the top 100 preferred stocks by current yield is below. With that in mind, note that these stocks can be bought through most brokers including online platforms, but the volume on them is much lower than on conventional common stocks.

Name Symbol Recent Price Volume 52 Wk Hi 52 Wk Lo Recent Yield
Molycorp Inc. Mand Conv P MCPA 20 7,069 69.64 16.44 27.5
Greenhunter Energy 10% Cu GRHC 18.5 7,025 23.45 16.48 13.51
Miller Energy Resources 1 MILLC 22.35 1,810 23.89 21.51 12.02
Northstar Realty Finance  NRFC 25.56 10,310 25.91 23.21 11.96
Unisys Corp. 6.25% Mand.  UISA 52.24 33,137 70.38 47.59 11.96
Magnum Hunter Resources 1 MHRC 23.84 67,402 26.39 21.06 10.75
Structured Products CorTS KTP 17.76 27,648 25.91 16.54 10.73
Corporate Asset Backed Tr PFH 17.81 10,137 25.44 16.27 10.7
Select Asset CorTS for J. JBN 16.59 7,499 24.97 15.31 10.55
Select Asset CBTC Series  JBR 16.9 500 25.15 15.66 10.36
MS Structured Asset SATUR HJV 17.14 6,558 25 15.77 10.21
AdCare Health Systems 10. ADKA 26.65 1,950 29 22 10.2
Southwest Bancorp Southwe OKSBP 26.05 400 27.94 24.55 10.08
PrivateBancorp Capital Tr PVTBP 25.57 9,162 26.82 25.32 9.78
Supertel Hospitality Conv SPPRO 25.55 300 26.1 23 9.78
Magnum Hunter Resources C MHRD 41.32 26,598 49 36 9.68
Gastar Exploration USA In GSTA 22.55 21,442 23.31 12.99 9.56
S.Y. Bancorp pfd. SYBTP 10.49 1,800 11.85 9.97 9.53
Santander Finance Preferr SANE 27.59 75,548 28.86 24.8 9.51
Zions Bncp Dep. pfd. (Rep ZB+C 25.85 105,049 26.95 24.51 9.39
Magnum Hunter Resources D MHRE 21.39 27,300 25.39 18.2 9.35
TAYC Capital Trust I 9.75 TAYCP 26.39 450 27.05 24.95 9.23
Newcastle Investment 9.75 NCTB 26.73 1,157 26.84 25.09 9.12
Red Lion Hotels Capital T RLHA 26.31 300 27.9 25.11 9.03
Double Eagle Petroleum Se DBLEP 25.65 400 28.98 24.8 9.02
Hillman Group Capital Tru HLM+ 32.79 100 32.99 29 8.84
RAIT Financial Trust 8.87 RASC 25.45 200 25.7 22.2 8.72
Northstar Realty Finance  NRFA 25.55 700 25.88 23.48 8.56
Seaspan Corp. 9.50% Cum.  SSWC 27.86 15,114 29.02 26.5 8.52
Synovus Financial Tangibl SNVT 24.2 329,250 24.77 15.55 8.52
Strategic Hotels&Resorts  BEEA 25 3,680 31.71 23.36 8.5
Bank of America Dep. pfd. BMLQ 25.5 156,159 26.29 23.1 8.46
Lehman ABS 7.75% CorTS To XKE 9.2 2,800 9.47 8.47 8.43
MFA Financial 8.50% Cum.  MFAA 25.24 36,714 26.37 25.07 8.42
Ashford Hospitality Trust AHTA 25.42 2,759 25.89 24.41 8.41
Summit Hotel Properties I INNA 27.58 1,300 27.99 25.43 8.38
Anworth Mortgage Asset 8. ANHA 25.77 1,750 26.83 25.11 8.37
Ashford Hospitality Trust AHTD 25.28 17,542 25.95 24.1 8.36
Winthrop Realty Trust 9.2 FURD 27.69 6,110 28.58 25 8.35
Capstead Mortgage $1.26 C CMOB 15.13 79,021 15.9 11.43 8.33
Resource Capital pfd. Ser RSOB 24.8 12,690 25.3 24.35 8.32
RAIT Financial Trust 8.37 RASB 25.2 7,652 25.44 20.99 8.31
JPMorgan Chase Dep pfd. ( JPMI 26.01 67,418 27.55 24.65 8.29
Strategic Hotels&Resorts  BEEB 24.91 6,483 30.93 23.6 8.28
Strategic Hotels&Resorts  BEEC 24.95 2,260 30.75 23.25 8.27
Northstar Realty Finance  NRFB 25 41,362 25.28 21.63 8.25
Citigroup Dep Shs (Rep a  C+M 25.81 1,993 27.53 25.46 8.23
Resource Capital Corp. 8. RSOA 25.83 5,765 26.69 21.3 8.23
Bank of America Dep. pfd. BACH 24.98 199,433 26.15 24.57 8.21
M&T Capital Trust IV 8.50 MTBA 25.92 17,908 26.8 25.18 8.2
Newcastle Investment 8.37 NCTD 25.61 100 26.17 24.39 8.18
iStar Financial 7.875% Cu SFIE 24.11 11,988 24.3 17.22 8.17
Merrill Lynch Depositor P PIY 25.66 928 27.3 25 8.16
Apollo Commercial Real Es ARIXA 26.46 5,550 27.19 24.8 8.15
ING Groep 8.50% ING Perp. IGK 26.08 134,106 26.5 23.78 8.15
iStar Financial 7.80% Cum SFIF 24.01 9,394 24.38 16.88 8.12
iStar Financial Cum. Rede SFID 24.63 2,800 24.97 17.48 8.12
STAG Industrial Pfd. STAG-A 27.92 175 28 25.15 8.06
Ashford Hospitality Trust AHTE 27.95 686 29.17 25.9 8.05
CapLease 8.125% Cum. Rede LSEA 25.24 16,922 25.67 24.56 8.05
Dynex Capital pfd. Series DX+A 26.4 4,200 26.86 24.15 8.05
Oxford Lane Capital pfd. OXLCP 26.4 1,500 26.6 25 8.05
Glimcher Realty Trust 8.1 GRTG 25.28 396 25.67 24.73 8.03
Phoenix 7.45% QUIBS PFX 23.19 14,364 25 20.73 8.03
Supertel Hospitality Conv SPPRP 9.96 2,300 10.48 8.14 8.03
Evolution Petroleum Corp. EPMA 26.5 200 28.94 25.96 8.02
Felcor Lodging Trust 8% C FCHC 24.95 19,746 27.03 23.82 8.02
Montpelier RE Holdings Lt MRHA 27.65 34,566 28.95 25.95 8.02
Felcor Lodging Trust $1.9 FCHA 24.33 6,891 26.99 21.91 8.01
Sterling Bancorp Trust I  STLA 10.47 7,900 11.64 9.88 8
iStar Financial 7.65% Cum SFIG 23.93 4,300 24.19 16.93 7.99
AG Mortgage Investment Tr MITTA 25.83 8,350 28.34 24.33 7.98
Ally Financial Inc. Fixed ALLYB 26.7 209,195 27.4 21.05 7.96
Armour Residential REIT p ARRA 25.91 2,209 26.09 24.3 7.96
Barclays ADS Series 5 (Re BCSD 25.56 73,934 26.36 24.33 7.95
iStar Financial 7.50% Cum SFII 23.67 3,138 24.75 16.05 7.92
RAIT Financial Trust 7.75 RASA 24.5 12,600 24.93 20.1 7.91
HSBC Holdings 8.125% Perp HCS 25.72 29,046 26.71 25.26 7.9
AmeriServ Financial pfd. ASRVP 26.79 1,946 30.25 25.01 7.89
Apollo Residential Mortga AMTGA 25.34 10,830 25.6 23.77 7.89
Zions Capital Trust B 8%  ZB+B 25.35 6,071 26.88 24.41 7.89
AG Mortgage Investment Tr MITTB 25.38 2,200 25.5 23.07 7.88
Berkshire Income Realty 9 BIRA 28.55 637 29.5 25 7.88
Colony Financial 8.5% pfd CLNYA 27.01 3,800 27.52 25.01 7.87
Merrill Lynch Depositor P PJA 25.47 2,050 26.65 25.01 7.85
Armour Residential REIT 7 ARRB 25.13 55,426 25.3 24.41 7.83
Genie Energy pfd. Series  GNEA 8.15 7,351 8.5 6.6 7.83
Maiden Holdings pfd. Seri MH+A 26.55 6,546 26.77 25.3 7.77
Saul Centers Dep. Shs (Re BFSA 25.95 399 26.24 25.01 7.71
U.S. Bancorp Dep. pfd. (R USBD 25.52 11,674 27.64 25.25 7.71
BancorpSouth Capital Trus BXSA 26.45 9,413 26.78 25.51 7.7
Kite Realty Group Trust P KRGA 26.83 4,422 27.17 24.94 7.69
Pennsylvania Real Estate  PEIA 26.81 5,232 27.55 24.98 7.69
CapLease 8.375% Cum. Rede LSEB 27.28 1,304 27.49 24.71 7.68
Hersha Hospitality Trust  HT+B 26.16 1,400 26.63 24.81 7.65
Investors Real Estate Tru IRET+ 27 150 28.44 25.62 7.64
National Westminster Bank NW+C 25.44 1,743 25.82 19.77 7.63
Cousins Properties 7.750% CUZA 25.46 6,700 25.95 24.77 7.61
CYS Investments Cum. Rede CYS+A 25.47 9,000 25.89 24.45 7.61
Seaspan 7.95% Cum. Redeem SSWD 26.15 9,953 26.6 24.61 7.6

Back to Blogging

Sorry for the break in blogging. I was asked earlier this week to present some of my research to a group of executives at the NYSE, and I am only now getting caught up with the work I missed while I was gone.

In the mean time here are a couple of articles I wrote about gold and its returns over the last couple of decades.

 

The JOBs Act turns 1

The JOBs act hit its first anniversary as a law the other day, but for all the fanfare and discussion surrounding the law, thus far there has been very little in the way of effects from it. Crowdfunding is still on shaky ground, and platforms like Kickstartr (that essentially are simply places for people to donate money rather than make an investment) are still the big players in the space.

A big part of the reason that crowdfunding hasn’t taken off is probably because the SEC has been dragging its feet on setting rules for the industry which has made most legitmate platforms understandably reluctant to operate. Hopefully the new SEC rules will get released sometime in the next year, since I think crowdfunding has some chance of becoming an important early stage source of financing for companies. In particular, crowd funding, if done right, has the potential to open up the way for essentially amateur private equity investmentsby individuals with some spare cash or even from retirement accounts (though this would be quite risky of course).

This risk and the likelihood of lots of failures by early stage companies is probably why the SEC has been so slow to issue rules in the space, and it is also the primary danger crowdfunding faces as an investment vehicle going forward.

Market Inattention, Part 2

Continuing my efforts at highlighting how market inattention can lead to seemingly undervalued stocks, here is my next stock that appears to fill the bill: Cabot Chemical. Inattention to the firm seems to have artificially depressed its price, but I also suspect that there may be an element of the classic conglomerate discount at work because while Cabot is not a conglomerate, it’s product base is certainly broad and the uses of its products are highly arcane and complex.

My in-depth article on the stock is here.

Triple Net Leases

Triple net leases are one of the coolest investments out there because they (mostly) avoid the classic real estate problem of tenant risk, and they minimize the amount of maintenance and general paper work that the property owner has to do on the property itself.

Anyway, for those not familiar with NNN leases, I have written a somewhat detailed introductory article here.